Much of what I write here, and
what I have written in "How God Makes God" and "Lingo Sorcery", might
appear to many people to be a little weird. It combines biological
theories and structures with computer programming; business strategy
and economics with probability and game theory. It plunges into areas
of scientific controversey and borders into subject matter more
usually associated with philosophy and metaphysic. Even more
confusing, all of this is spiced with elements of arcane theories of
mathematics and physics.
The reader might be forgiven for considering this to be the sad
ravings of a very scary sort of deranged person.
However, before you write it off entirely, you might like to know
some of the background which may offer some sort of explanation and
perhaps even provide a little credence.
I had been very lucky, a freak chance in education brought me to the
cutting edge of all the emerging technologies of the late twentieth
century before most people had even heard of them. Electronics,
systems theory, computers, game theory, servo mechanisms and
automatic control, etc., were taught to me by scientists in a special
college which had been set up in the middle of a UK government
research center during the late 1950's.
Instead of using this educational advantage to map out a successful
career, I dropped out of the conventional world to experiment with an
independent existence as an entrepreneur. I reasoned that with my
education and training I ought to be able to learn how to make my own
money (it seemed a rational supposition at the time).
If I had taken a normal educational route, I might have approached
money making in a conventional way and seen the goal of making money
as the possession of large sums of it. As it happened, my aims were
more abstract and far less focused.
Receiving an education from scientists, as opposed to educational
lecturers, had given me an enthusiasm for unraveling mysteries, thus,
it was the technicalities and the theory of wealth creation which
were the main attraction for me. The possession of vast wealth seemed
no more than a "hoped for" possible outcome.
Noting that few successful entrepreneurs had started out by being
trained as professional managers, accountants, lawyers or financiers,
I figured that there must be other key elements involved which
weren't being taught. What were they? How do you begin life as an
entrepreneur if you aren't taught how to be one? It was an intriguing
puzzle, which launched me into a strange new world of exotic
businesses.
After several years of see-sawing fortunes, in an exciting roller
coaster life, I seemed to have been getting nowhere with any general
theory of wealth creation. Certainly, I had made and lost plenty of
money, but, it had all seemed to be from opportunistic adventuring
rather than strategic planning. There were no overall concepts
developing. Most of the ventures had involved a certain amount of
technical skill, planning and organization, but, the feeling that I
"knew" how to make money, just wasn't there.
During one of my frequent 'back to square one' periods, I decided to
study marketing to see if that would throw any light on the problem.
Three months of intensive reading at the Holborn library in London,
which specializes in books on marketing, provided me with a new role
game to play: as a marketing consultant. This career move stopped at
the first consultancy when I became involved in the writing of a
correspondence course on investment.
In writing the correspondence course, I used a games theory approach.
To my great disappointment, one of the main requirements of the
optimum strategy for investment turned out to be one of preserving
capital. With such a specification, investments are spread to
safeguard against any serious loss; this effectively also eliminates
any possibility for spectacular gains.
Although I didn't get any direct benefit from this investment
knowledge, the insight it gave me into the underlying mathematics of
financial decision making turned out to be invaluable. Also, it
brought to my attention the work of John Maynard Keynes, in the
context of general economic theory.
Having spent an intensive year, sitting down in a smoke filled room
in the City of London to write the correspondence course, I felt the
need for a dramatic change in life style. I got it, when, in 1970, I
discovered the hippie market in Kensington High Street, London.
Even with my experience of different life styles this was something I
had never come across before. Not only was this hippie lifestyle fun,
it was generating wealth. The hippie colonies, centered around
Kensington Market, were not just idling life away in a drug induced
state of euphoria, these people were making serious money from real
industry and effort.
In this hippie market, even the casual employees, working in the
small cramped upstairs trading units, were earning more money per
week than most young engineers. Something was happening there and I
wanted to be part of it and find out what was the secret of this
wealth creation.
If the wealth creation strategy which I uncovered had remained a
theoretical concept it would have been of little consequence. The
significance came from the fact that the ensuing theoretical
framework helped me to build a fairly successful business using a
predetermined strategy.
Starting out with a tiny stall, on the top floor of Kensington
Market, within two years I had shops and trading units all over
London and had more money than I had ever seen in my life before. The
details of the business are secondary, what was important was that it
had all been built upon a theoretical foundation and strategy which
had been planned - and by a hippie who was enjoying himself.
After "discovering" this general strategy for creating wealth, I
started to observe the many other traders around me who were also
making money. What strategy were they using?
It was then I realized that the successful hippie culture was
underpinned by a variety of non hippie business people who were
operating, almost transparently, in the background. This transparent
infrastructure was made up mainly from Asian immigrants and Jewish
business people. What role were they playing in the game to make
money?
As I observed the inconspicuous way the non hippie infra structure
provided the links and the oil which kept the hippie culture
financially viable, I couldn't help but be struck by the way in which
the people involved seemed to be adopting the same money making
strategy which I had theorized to be optimal.
However, there was one important difference. These successful
entrepreneurs weren't working to some carefully worked out conscious
plan; these people were acting instinctively. The successful
strategies they were adopting to create wealth was an unconscious,
natural way for them to behave.
I might still have been puzzled by this anomaly today if I hadn't
have made a disastrous lifestyle experiment in Spain.
Imagine, having more money than you can spend, a luxury penthouse
apartment overlooking the Mediterranean, a business consisting of
rents from forty two little shops - yet feeling bored and miserable.
Wouldn't you have thought this would have provided the basis for an
idyllic existence? Sadly, it didn't for me.
As I lay on the beach one morning, reflecting upon the unexpected
disappointment of my lifestyle experiment, I began to think about
what enjoyment in life was really all about. It couldn't be material
benefit, I had all of that. All I could think of was that it must
have something to do with what was happenings in the brain: like
neurons firing and stuff.
This thought set me on a search to find out how the brain works.
I skipped through various books on psychology and philosophies of the
mind but didn't seem to be getting very far until I began to look at
the physical structure of the brain and came across Jacque Monod's
"Chance and Necessity".
"Chance and necessity" is not about the brain, it is about DNA and
the molecular theory of the genetic code. For me it was a revelation.
Here was a Nobel prize winner explaining the physical mechanisms
which cause life to come into existence in a way I could understand -
in terms of feedback and control mechanisms in which the human cell
and its chromosomes are seen as parts of a complex system of
interacting components.
Having been convinced by Monod that the human cell consisted of
mechanisms which were potentially explainable, I began following all
references to the working of the human biological cell.
The next thing to strike me was an article I came across in
Scientific American: it was explaining some obscure points about
molecular interactions. The explained method involved modeling the
structures of proteins on a computer. It was the paradigm shift I
needed.
If proteins could be modeled on a computer, their structure could be
represented as strings of binary code. Taking this paradigm just a
little bit further, the interactions of proteins and other chemical
items in a cell could be abstracted out and considered as operating
upon each other in the same way that the code of a computer language
could act upon and process the data in the memory space of a
computer. Both could be represented as binary strings and this, for
me, was the key to understanding the mechanisms of molecular biology.
Two completely different types of system yet sharing a common
abstraction.
At about this same time (1975-6) my attention was drawn to a new and
controversial publication: "Sociobiology" by O. E. Wilson. Here was
the critical piece of the jigsaw which linked all of my disparate
observations and findings together.
"Sociobiology" is a masterful and authoritative work which fully
explains the evolution of behavior patterns in terms of survival and
reproduction strategies. The evidence suggested that much of animal
behavior is instinctive and inherited and although the empirical data
related to the animal world, there were none too subtle hints that
this could also be applied to humans.
Inherited patterns of behavior? To many influential educationalists
this was a heresy and the book was condemned by many as a wild
speculation without any credence.
For me, Wilson's argument, together with its supporting wealth of
empirical data, was overwhelmingly convincing. Its only weakness was
that the actual mechanism which provided the transmission of behavior
from one generation to another was missing. How is it possible to
pass on behavior "genetically" from one generation to another?
Surely, behavior is passed culturally, as a series of learned
responses? Wilson's book never really addressed that problem.
However, a bell had rung in my head. I'd seen behavior patterns in
business people which I'd been sure were unconscious. I had assumed
they were a result of social and cultural learning and conditioning.
After reading Wilson's book I began to wonder. Could a propensity to
be good at business be an inherited trait? The idea seemed too
outrageous to warrant serious contemplation, but, the seed was
sown.
Weighing up Wilson's evidence for the evolution of behavior patterns
and my observations of strategic emotive decision making by business
people, I concluded that emotions might be involved in some kind of
automatic control of human behavior.
Although it made sense that behavior was to a large extent driven by
emotions, there needed to be some conclusive proof that such a
mechanism could evolve. A possible way to do this suggested itself
when I realized that the business people I'd observed were mainly
from cultures with strong religious associations; although the
business people themselves may not necessarily have been religious,
their cultural influences could have been an important factor.
Checking out the rules of the respective religions, I found that they
all seemed to incorporate heuristic strategies which would be
conducive to good business ethics and practice. This raised the
interesting possibility that religions, which have survived and
prospered to the present day, may have owed their success to the
survival advantage of their religious rules and edicts.
Switching paradigms, it could therefore also be argued that the
religions which are prospering today are a result of an evolutionary
process, where the religions with the most effective rules gradually
replaced religions which had less effective rules.
In other words the evolving entity was not the religions themselves
but the sets of rules which religions abide by (which in game theory
terms is the evolution of an heuristic strategy).
This set a new train of thought. A set of rules evolving?
It was then that I came across J. H. Holland's work on genetic
algorithms and rule based classifier systems (Ann Arbor: University
of Michigan). The versatility of this technique allows sets of rules
to be tested against each other in a competitive environment.
The trick is to specify a whole range of rules and then state how
strongly each should be enforced. A zero weighting would indicate
that a particular rule was not to be applied; a positive value
indicating the rule was to be applied (with a strength proportional
to the value); and a negative value indicating that the opposite of
the rule had to be applied.
Starting off with random values, it could be shown how optimum rules
and rule combinations could be selected for in the evolutionary
progress of a genetic algorithm and after a significant number of
generations an optimum set of rules would evolve.
The next conceptual jump was to associate the weightings given to the
application of rules with emotional pressures to apply those rules.
Suddenly, I had a model which demonstrated the mechanism by which
emotionally driven behavior patterns could evolve. How could I prove
it?
I then retraced the steps I had taken to come to those conclusions. I
remembered that the starting position had been to create a strategy
which would be optimum for creating wealth.
I considered the conclusion I'd drawn, that the heuristic strategy
had seemed to work. I'd observed for myself that it really could
result in an increase in wealth within a community (remember wealth
creation is a statistical concept which applies to an aggregate and
not necessarily specific to an individual).
This, I thought, could provide the basis of a test scenario.
My next step was to create artificial software life forms which
existed as emotionally driven entities whose emotions would cause
them to favor specific types of behavior (obey certain rules). These
entities were then set to compete with each other in an artificial
competitive environment.
Initially, the emotions of the life form entities were set to random
values (the life forms started out by not favoring any particular
rules or behavior), but, as the evolution progressed, emotions
developed (in the life form entities) which caused them to act
optimally: to cooperate with each other and act in ways which would
be optimally efficient for their economic success in the artificial
scenario provided.
Not only did these simulations cause the life form entities to evolve
the correct mix of emotions to enable them to act optimally for
survival, they also developed much deeper emotions which could easily
be interpreted as ethics, altruism and most surprisingly of all -
conscience.
This was an astounding result (which is fully explained in the CD-ROM
"How God Makes God").
I have noticed recently that there has been an increasing number of
scientific articles which seem to add support to these suppositions.
However, even if the connection between the software models and the
real life working of the brain may be considered somewhat tenuous,
there is no doubt at all that the underlying "emotional" software
mechanisms described can be used to provide a fuzzy control system
which will give any software object a capacity for learning and
adapting.
The most exciting possibilities for the "emotional" control stuff is
in being able to provide COISes (client oriented intranet systems,
also known as Web buggies or client side bots) with virtual brains.
Such "intelligent" entities could have a wealth of applications on
the Internet and is now the subject of my current interest.
The conceptual frameworks developed in HGMG have also proved to be
extremely useful for looking at the Internet and the World Wide Web
in different ways. The analogies of the cell as a miniature computer
and the genome as a CD-ROM have great application for visualizing the
potential of the Web for commercial applications.
[Index]
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education]
[Back - About Lingo Sorcery]
Peter Small August 1996
Email:
peter@petersmall.com
Version 1.00
©Copyright 1996 Peter Small